Giant Change is Needed: Why the Neukom-Sabean Relationship is Doomed to Fail

With Spring Training officially on it's way, the off-season, for the most part is officially done. Sure, there are some lingering free agents out there and perhaps some late-additions to the Giants roster could (but shouldn't) happen, but for the most part, the Giants seem pretty much set with their roster as they head into the 2010 season, which begins in less than a month.

That being said, the most widely-asked question by Giants fans (other than how the Giants are going to do in 2010, of course) has to be this:

How did the Giants do this off-season?

That is an interesting question. Of course, we won't truly know until the games start. We won't know if Mark Derosa just had a bad stretch with St. Louis because of injury, or if he is on the decline until the regular-season starts. We won't know how Aubrey Huff's defense at first will fare until the regular season starts. We won't know if Freddy Sanchez will be fully healthy again and be the NL All-Star he was in the first half of 2009 until the regular season starts.

Yet, there is one thing Giants fans can say about this off-season before the regular season starts:

Managing General Partner Bill Neukom and General Manager Brian Sabean are not a good fit for each other.

In many ways, this is a different Giants ownership from what we have seen in the past. Sure, former Managing Partner Peter Magowan is still on as a Principal Partner, but it's Neukom calling the shots, and his shots certainly have been felt this off-season if you look at the list:

• In terms of free agency, the Giants didn't sign anybody beyond a two-year contract. Freddy Sanchez and Mark Derosa both received two-year, $12 million offers. Aubrey Huff received a one-year $3 million offer. Juan Uribe received a one-year, $3.25 million offer, and Bengie Molina received a one-year, $4.5 million offer.
• The Giants didn't have to sacrifice too much in arbitration. Jonathan Sanchez earned a $2.1 million dollar extension in arbitration. Brian Wilson earned a $4.4375 million extension. And Tim Lincecum, their franchise player who had earned TWO Cy Young awards in his first TWO seasons, earned a two-year extension, but will only be paid $9 million in 2010 (he will earn $14 million in 2011).
• The Giants didn't make any serious offers to any big-time free-agents. The biggest offer they made was $19 million total to Adam LaRoche, but even then, that contract was only a two-year deal. Yes, Jason Bay, Johnny Damon and Matt Holliday didn't show interest in signing with the Giants, but it did not seem as if the Giants showed much interest in them in return.

What can we judge from those three points? The days of free-wheeling contracts and over-spending might be a thing in the past. Even last year, in Neukom's first season as Managing Partner, Neukom and Sabean played it on the conservative end. The biggest free agent deal that was made was Edgar Renteria's two-year $18.5 million deal (and that turned out to be a dud). And, even though there seemed to be a prime opportunity for the Giants to swing in, they stayed clear of Manny Ramirez, even though he could have brought instant impact to their anemic offense.

For some reason, I can't see this conservatism from Magowan. Magowan was known for being a fan first, and he spent like a fan. If the Giants needed to make a splash in free agency (e.g. Barry Zito, Aaron Rowand, Bengie Molina, Moises Alou, etc.), Magowan opened the pocket book for Sabean and allowed him to do so. If the Giants needed to make a big trade regardless of the cost (e.g. A.J. Pierzynski for Boof Bonser, Joe Nathan and Francisco Liriano), Magowan gave gave the green flag to Sabean.

Magowan wanted the Giants to win regardless of how it affected his bottom line in the balance sheet. It worked to both the Giants fans' advantage (Three NL West titles in 1997, 2000 and 2003, and an NL Pennant and near-World Series win in 2002) and to their disadvantage (Ignoring the steroid culture during the Bonds Era, the accumulation of bad contracts and lack of farm system development).

Neukom, on the other hand, doesn't seem inclined to run things the "Magowan Way." Just from what we've seen in his first two years, Neukom seems more concerned about mitigating risk rather than making a big splash. You could see this attitude during last season's Trade Deadline. The acqusitions were modest: two players (Sanchez and Ryan Garko) for two top pitching prospects (Tim Alderson and Scott Barnes). Neither of the players the Giants recieved were premiere (and remember, Holliday and Roy Halladay were on the market), but the cost wasn't extraordinary either (remember, the Seattle Mariners gave up four prospects for Jack Wilson and Ian Snell last off-season).

To be honest, I don't think there's anything wrong with Neukom's managing style. If done properly (think the Oakland A's of the Early 2000's, the 2003 Florida Marlins and the 2008 Tampa Bay Rays) the conservative approach to building a ballclub can be worthwhile. It can not only produce immediate success, but it can set up the seeds of future success because you're relying on younger, cheaper options rather than the high-risk, high-reward players you get through free agency. Sure, it doesn't always work (Kansas City and general manager Dayton Moore have been struggling to find success through this mindset because many players haven't lived up to expectations, like Alex Gordon), but with the right people, and the right mindset, success is not just possible, it's likely.

Yet that's the problem at this current moment. Sabean is not the right person to head the kind of management style that Neukom presents. Sabean is similar to a guy like New York Yankees General Manager Brian Cashman: he needs a lot of money, and he needs to spend a lot of money to achieve success. That's what he did from 1997-2008. Magowan gave him a lot of money, and he spent it on as many free agents as he possibly could, from Dave Roberts to Steve Finley to Ryan Klesko to Rich Aurilia, version 2.5.

Unfortunately, Sabean can't do that anymore, and as a Giants fan, you can tell he's going through withdrawls about it. He wants to spend more money on guys like LaRoche or Molina (they lucked out because the market tanked on Molina), but you feel Neukom won't let him do it. So, he just goes after to whatever he can, spending it on guys who are big names, but not necessarily fits on this team.

He spends $3 million on Huff to play first base, even though Huff hasn't played first base regularly in his career. He spends $12 million on Sanchez, even though Sanchez has a questionable injury history. He spends $12 million on Derosa, even though Derosa is better suited as a complementary player for a heavily offensive lineup rather than a primary player for a team that needs offense.

And the worst part? You get this strange feeling that Sabean held back in negotiations. You feel that if Magowan were still running things Huff would get a two-year deal instead of one and Sanchez would get a four-year deal instead of two. As a Giants fan, you feel that these off-season acquisitions were not all done by Sabean, but rather, were Sabean's ideas dictated by Neukom's prices. It seems as if Neukom put a price ceiling up, said "This is the high mark, don't go beyond it," and Sabean worked accordingly, and predictably (going with questionable, in-regression veterans).

That's why Sabean and Neukom can't work. It's almost as if Neukom and his managing team are baiting Sabean to find a more efficient way of running a team. It's almost as if they are hinting to him to rely more on players in their system rather than free agents. I think that's why they gave him the two-year extension this off-season. The average age of the Giants' Opening Day lineup in 2009 was 25.67 years-old. They thought that was a sign that he would get it, and play into their "efficient spending" model.

And yet, he doesn't get it, and I don't think Sabean ever will. The projected Opening Day lineup in 2010 has an average age of 30.67 years-old. The payroll increased from just over $82 million to just over $90 million (at this point) in less than one year (and the payroll most likely will go up by Opening Day). That's not efficiency. That's not what the Marlins, A's and Rays did en route to success.

If anything, it is just ineffectiveness, compounded by ignorance.

Neukom can find success as an owner despite his "cost-conscious" ways. However, Sabean isn't going to help him achieve that success. He's only going to hinder, if not prevent it from happening. The route to success in Neukom's "style" isn't through veterans, but with youth. It isn't through big-names, but efficient, "worth more than they're paid" players.

There are two-years left on Neukom's contract, and for all we, as Giants fans, know, Sabean may be around for two more years. If that's what happens, so be it.

But it needs to be known: change is drastically needed. This off-season proved that. The Giants need a general manager that will follow the path the A's, the Marlins and Rays set forth for Major League teams that want to be efficient with money, but still competitive.

Who is that guy? I don't know, but it certainly isn't Sabean.

Five Things I want Brian Sabean to Do Next Year As Giants GM

Let's face it. Brian Sabean is going to be the GM for the San Francisco Giants...at least for a couple of more years. Most smart Giants fans hate it, the Giants blogging nation refuses to believe it (but is trying to apparently), but unfortunately owner Bill Neukom doesn't seem to be any smarter than his predecessor Peter Magowan.

Oh well. Is it the worst thing in the world? No. It could be worse. Neukom could have fired Sabean and hired Bill Bavasi as his replacement. That would have been five...no...ten times worse than the situation we currently have now.

However, if Sabean is going to continue to be GM of the Giants, there are five things I want him to do in preparation for the 2010 Giants season. If he can accomplish these things or at least make an effort to accomplish them this offseason, then I will quit saying that the Giants resigning Sabean was the most retarded thing to happen this century since the Italians electing Mussolini to power.

1. Let Bengie Molina go, and let Buster Posey be the starting catcher

--Posey needs to be the catcher. Bottom line, no freaking questions asked. As great as it is that Bengie Molina hit 20 home runs this year, he is simply past his prime. For a team that needs to improve plate patience and OBP, Molina simply doesn't fit that mold. He can't lay off bad pitches, defensively he isn't what he used to, and manager Bruce Bochy has a mancrush on him that is worse than John Hinckley's obsession with Jodie Foster in Taxi Driver (e.g if Molina is back, not only is there no way Bochy will take him out of the lineup, but there is no way he will take him out of the cleanup hole).

Now I understand Posey is young. I understand he has been in professional baseball for barely a year. But this kid can play. He hit .321 with five home runs and 22 RBI in 35 games with Fresno, and .326 with 13 home runs and 58 RBI in Single-A San Jose. Furthermore, he only helps to the Giants miserable OBP stats as evidenced by his .391 and .428 OBP numbers in Fresno and San Jose respectively.

Molina has had a good run in San Francisco, and I can admit that he has been the Giants best catcher in the past decade. Yet time has run its course with Molina in San Francisco, and only keeping him around his going to delay the inevitable: the Buster Posey era in the Bay Area.

2. Don't trade for Milton Bradley

--It's tempting. Aaron Rowand for Milton Bradley straight up? When you combine Rowand's terrible season along with his miserable contract (three years remaining on his deal), I'm sure this deal sounds like music to many Giants fans' ears.

However, like I said in my article on Bleacher Report, Bradley would be more of a cancer than help for this Giants squad, even if he does have a pretty decent on-base percentage.

Milton Bradley + San Francisco Giants = Royal F'n Mess in 2010.

3. Get Rid of Edgar Renteria

--I would gain massive respect for Sabean if he pulled this off. Everyone knew this was a sketchy signing when it was first announced, and after Renteria's miserable first year in San Francisco, all the skeptics' fears were confirmed.

Renteria has a slow bat that can't hit an underhanded softball pitch, he's injury prone, he has no power (let alone enough to hit in a park like AT&T Park) and defensively, he just isn't an average fielding shortstop anymore (many people point out his fielding percentage improved from last year, but he also had a very good defensive first baseman in Travis Ishikawa this year as well).

Just look at the stats: .250 batting average, five home runs, .307 OBP, .328 slugging percentage. Pathetic. That is an absolute waste of money, especially when you have Juan Uribe on the team, who's a better fielding shortstop than Renteria, and had a much better offensive season (.293 average, 16 home runs, 54 RBI, .501 slugging) for a fraction of the cost (one million per year to Renteria's eight million per year).

I know it may not happen simply because at this point, because Renteria is untradeable. However, if Sabean can at least entertain some offers, that will at least show me he has admitted to his bonehead mistake and is looking to rectify his stupid signing in 2008.

That in my mind is worth at least 1/100 of the new contract he will receive from Neukom.


4. Lower Beer Prices at AT&T Park

--I know that this is probably out of his power, but I'm going to blame Sabean any way because I like using him as a scapegoat (I once said to a friend he was responsible for the usage of steroid in baseball...which if you really think about it, actually has some merit considering he overlooked everything Bonds did).

$8.75 = Way too F'n much for a freaking 16 oz beer.

I don't know what you have to do Sabes to stop this injustice. Raise ticket prices, get cheaper beer or trade Aaron Rowand or Randy Winn. Whatever the solution is, I don't care. Just get those beer prices down. Almost nine bucks for a Bud Light is borderline criminal.


5. Assemble a team that can beat the Dodgers next year

--That's what it all comes down to. If Sabean can assemble a squad that can be better than the Dodgers, that's all I can ask for. A World Series request is lofty, simply because of the high amount of luck and money that is required to build a World Series-caliber team.

But a team that can beat the Dodgers? I don't think that is asking too much from the guy, especially after he has been here for oh...13 years!

Hell, I beat Kim Ng can do it. She knows that Dodgers organization inside and out, including all their strengths and weaknesses. Hiring her as GM would be like the Vikings getting Brett Favre.

Alas though, that isn't going to happen.

Bill Neukom re-signs Brian Sabean to multi-year extension as Giants General Manager. You're 2009 San Francisco Giants Management!

Boy that never gets old.